Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 10:44 AM, 123 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 160,638 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 122,915 - 186,845). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:44 AM | 2199 |
c(2.5% = 1851)
|
c(97.5% = 2505)
|
| 02 | 10:44 AM | 3551 |
c(2.5% = 3161)
|
c(97.5% = 3931)
|
| 03 | 10:44 AM | 2036 |
c(2.5% = 1513)
|
c(97.5% = 2406)
|
| 04 | 10:44 AM | 2065 |
c(2.5% = 1501)
|
c(97.5% = 2509)
|
| 05 | 10:44 AM | 5266 |
c(2.5% = 4510)
|
c(97.5% = 5864)
|
| 06 | 10:44 AM | 1383 |
c(2.5% = 1072)
|
c(97.5% = 1616)
|
| 07 | 10:44 AM | 1426 |
c(2.5% = 738)
|
c(97.5% = 2241)
|
| 08 | 10:44 AM | 4963 |
c(2.5% = 4402)
|
c(97.5% = 5559)
|
| 09 | 10:44 AM | 2375 |
c(2.5% = 1970)
|
c(97.5% = 2744)
|
| 10 | 10:44 AM | 2964 |
c(2.5% = 2305)
|
c(97.5% = 3468)
|
| 11 | 10:44 AM | 1315 |
c(2.5% = 942)
|
c(97.5% = 1622)
|
| 12 | 10:44 AM | 2249 |
c(2.5% = 1690)
|
c(97.5% = 2687)
|
| 13 | 10:44 AM | 2032 |
c(2.5% = 1501)
|
c(97.5% = 2454)
|
| 14 | 10:44 AM | 888 |
c(2.5% = 701)
|
c(97.5% = 1018)
|
| 15 | 10:44 AM | 2555 |
c(2.5% = 2257)
|
c(97.5% = 2875)
|
| 16 | 10:44 AM | 1107 |
c(2.5% = 761)
|
c(97.5% = 1401)
|
| 17 | 10:44 AM | 2478 |
c(2.5% = 1855)
|
c(97.5% = 2962)
|
| 18 | 10:44 AM | 2137 |
c(2.5% = 1754)
|
c(97.5% = 2427)
|
| 19 | 10:44 AM | 1055 |
c(2.5% = 616)
|
c(97.5% = 1510)
|
| 20 | 10:44 AM | 1033 |
c(2.5% = 681)
|
c(97.5% = 1335)
|
| 21 | 10:44 AM | 5810 |
c(2.5% = 4713)
|
c(97.5% = 6543)
|
| 22 | 10:44 AM | 3146 |
c(2.5% = 2602)
|
c(97.5% = 3464)
|
| 23 | 10:44 AM | 1916 |
c(2.5% = 1346)
|
c(97.5% = 2341)
|
| 24 | 10:44 AM | 1611 |
c(2.5% = 1172)
|
c(97.5% = 1922)
|
| 25 | 10:44 AM | 1596 |
c(2.5% = 1097)
|
c(97.5% = 1953)
|
| 26 | 10:44 AM | 2230 |
c(2.5% = 1821)
|
c(97.5% = 2484)
|
| 27 | 10:44 AM | 2907 |
c(2.5% = 2020)
|
c(97.5% = 3659)
|
| 28 | 10:44 AM | 1176 |
c(2.5% = 813)
|
c(97.5% = 1486)
|
| 29 | 10:44 AM | 1164 |
c(2.5% = 918)
|
c(97.5% = 1342)
|
| 30 | 10:44 AM | 2298 |
c(2.5% = 2028)
|
c(97.5% = 2555)
|
| 31 | 10:44 AM | 1955 |
c(2.5% = 1713)
|
c(97.5% = 2130)
|
| 32 | 10:44 AM | 1952 |
c(2.5% = 1340)
|
c(97.5% = 2472)
|
| 33 | 10:44 AM | 1666 |
c(2.5% = 932)
|
c(97.5% = 2391)
|
| 34 | 10:44 AM | 4248 |
c(2.5% = 3327)
|
c(97.5% = 4892)
|
| 35 | 10:44 AM | 2917 |
c(2.5% = 1992)
|
c(97.5% = 3589)
|
| 36 | 10:44 AM | 3451 |
c(2.5% = 2731)
|
c(97.5% = 3959)
|
| 37 | 10:44 AM | 1262 |
c(2.5% = 847)
|
c(97.5% = 1626)
|
| 38 | 10:44 AM | 2131 |
c(2.5% = 1700)
|
c(97.5% = 2435)
|
| 39 | 10:44 AM | 4245 |
c(2.5% = 3529)
|
c(97.5% = 4775)
|
| 40 | 10:44 AM | 4442 |
c(2.5% = 3236)
|
c(97.5% = 5341)
|
| 41 | 10:44 AM | 1783 |
c(2.5% = 1219)
|
c(97.5% = 2180)
|
| 42 | 10:44 AM | 2258 |
c(2.5% = 1451)
|
c(97.5% = 2961)
|
| 43 | 10:44 AM | 1768 |
c(2.5% = 1070)
|
c(97.5% = 2443)
|
| 44 | 10:44 AM | 1389 |
c(2.5% = 1010)
|
c(97.5% = 1686)
|
| 45 | 10:44 AM | 2010 |
c(2.5% = 1421)
|
c(97.5% = 2435)
|
| 46 | 10:44 AM | 2628 |
c(2.5% = 2295)
|
c(97.5% = 2995)
|
| 47 | 10:44 AM | 839 |
c(2.5% = 604)
|
c(97.5% = 1022)
|
| 48 | 10:44 AM | 1985 |
c(2.5% = 1464)
|
c(97.5% = 2350)
|
| 49 | 10:44 AM | 2516 |
c(2.5% = 1825)
|
c(97.5% = 3066)
|
| 50 | 10:44 AM | 3449 |
c(2.5% = 2876)
|
c(97.5% = 3935)
|
| 51 | 10:44 AM | 2240 |
c(2.5% = 1676)
|
c(97.5% = 2693)
|
| 52 | 10:44 AM | 2747 |
c(2.5% = 2235)
|
c(97.5% = 3127)
|
| 53 | 10:44 AM | 2000 |
c(2.5% = 1373)
|
c(97.5% = 2460)
|
| 54 | 10:44 AM | 1462 |
c(2.5% = 925)
|
c(97.5% = 1879)
|
| 55 | 10:44 AM | 2326 |
c(2.5% = 1613)
|
c(97.5% = 2820)
|
| 56 | 10:44 AM | 3374 |
c(2.5% = 2470)
|
c(97.5% = 3936)
|
| 57 | 10:44 AM | 2904 |
c(2.5% = 2190)
|
c(97.5% = 3344)
|
| 58 | 10:44 AM | 4890 |
c(2.5% = 3603)
|
c(97.5% = 5677)
|
| 59 | 10:44 AM | 2395 |
c(2.5% = 1846)
|
c(97.5% = 2801)
|
| 60 | 10:44 AM | 1914 |
c(2.5% = 1470)
|
c(97.5% = 2239)
|
| 61 | 10:44 AM | 2947 |
c(2.5% = 2137)
|
c(97.5% = 3581)
|
| 62 | 10:44 AM | 2175 |
c(2.5% = 1428)
|
c(97.5% = 2746)
|
| 63 | 10:44 AM | 2757 |
c(2.5% = 2172)
|
c(97.5% = 3099)
|
| 64 | 10:44 AM | 1574 |
c(2.5% = 1128)
|
c(97.5% = 1875)
|
| 65 | 10:44 AM | 2278 |
c(2.5% = 1729)
|
c(97.5% = 2611)
|
| 66 | 10:44 AM | 4831 |
c(2.5% = 3626)
|
c(97.5% = 5564)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions