Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:44 AM, 123 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 160,638 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 122,915 - 186,845). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:44 AM 2199 c(2.5% = 1851) c(97.5% = 2505)
02 10:44 AM 3551 c(2.5% = 3161) c(97.5% = 3931)
03 10:44 AM 2036 c(2.5% = 1513) c(97.5% = 2406)
04 10:44 AM 2065 c(2.5% = 1501) c(97.5% = 2509)
05 10:44 AM 5266 c(2.5% = 4510) c(97.5% = 5864)
06 10:44 AM 1383 c(2.5% = 1072) c(97.5% = 1616)
07 10:44 AM 1426 c(2.5% = 738) c(97.5% = 2241)
08 10:44 AM 4963 c(2.5% = 4402) c(97.5% = 5559)
09 10:44 AM 2375 c(2.5% = 1970) c(97.5% = 2744)
10 10:44 AM 2964 c(2.5% = 2305) c(97.5% = 3468)
11 10:44 AM 1315 c(2.5% = 942) c(97.5% = 1622)
12 10:44 AM 2249 c(2.5% = 1690) c(97.5% = 2687)
13 10:44 AM 2032 c(2.5% = 1501) c(97.5% = 2454)
14 10:44 AM 888 c(2.5% = 701) c(97.5% = 1018)
15 10:44 AM 2555 c(2.5% = 2257) c(97.5% = 2875)
16 10:44 AM 1107 c(2.5% = 761) c(97.5% = 1401)
17 10:44 AM 2478 c(2.5% = 1855) c(97.5% = 2962)
18 10:44 AM 2137 c(2.5% = 1754) c(97.5% = 2427)
19 10:44 AM 1055 c(2.5% = 616) c(97.5% = 1510)
20 10:44 AM 1033 c(2.5% = 681) c(97.5% = 1335)
21 10:44 AM 5810 c(2.5% = 4713) c(97.5% = 6543)
22 10:44 AM 3146 c(2.5% = 2602) c(97.5% = 3464)
23 10:44 AM 1916 c(2.5% = 1346) c(97.5% = 2341)
24 10:44 AM 1611 c(2.5% = 1172) c(97.5% = 1922)
25 10:44 AM 1596 c(2.5% = 1097) c(97.5% = 1953)
26 10:44 AM 2230 c(2.5% = 1821) c(97.5% = 2484)
27 10:44 AM 2907 c(2.5% = 2020) c(97.5% = 3659)
28 10:44 AM 1176 c(2.5% = 813) c(97.5% = 1486)
29 10:44 AM 1164 c(2.5% = 918) c(97.5% = 1342)
30 10:44 AM 2298 c(2.5% = 2028) c(97.5% = 2555)
31 10:44 AM 1955 c(2.5% = 1713) c(97.5% = 2130)
32 10:44 AM 1952 c(2.5% = 1340) c(97.5% = 2472)
33 10:44 AM 1666 c(2.5% = 932) c(97.5% = 2391)
34 10:44 AM 4248 c(2.5% = 3327) c(97.5% = 4892)
35 10:44 AM 2917 c(2.5% = 1992) c(97.5% = 3589)
36 10:44 AM 3451 c(2.5% = 2731) c(97.5% = 3959)
37 10:44 AM 1262 c(2.5% = 847) c(97.5% = 1626)
38 10:44 AM 2131 c(2.5% = 1700) c(97.5% = 2435)
39 10:44 AM 4245 c(2.5% = 3529) c(97.5% = 4775)
40 10:44 AM 4442 c(2.5% = 3236) c(97.5% = 5341)
41 10:44 AM 1783 c(2.5% = 1219) c(97.5% = 2180)
42 10:44 AM 2258 c(2.5% = 1451) c(97.5% = 2961)
43 10:44 AM 1768 c(2.5% = 1070) c(97.5% = 2443)
44 10:44 AM 1389 c(2.5% = 1010) c(97.5% = 1686)
45 10:44 AM 2010 c(2.5% = 1421) c(97.5% = 2435)
46 10:44 AM 2628 c(2.5% = 2295) c(97.5% = 2995)
47 10:44 AM 839 c(2.5% = 604) c(97.5% = 1022)
48 10:44 AM 1985 c(2.5% = 1464) c(97.5% = 2350)
49 10:44 AM 2516 c(2.5% = 1825) c(97.5% = 3066)
50 10:44 AM 3449 c(2.5% = 2876) c(97.5% = 3935)
51 10:44 AM 2240 c(2.5% = 1676) c(97.5% = 2693)
52 10:44 AM 2747 c(2.5% = 2235) c(97.5% = 3127)
53 10:44 AM 2000 c(2.5% = 1373) c(97.5% = 2460)
54 10:44 AM 1462 c(2.5% = 925) c(97.5% = 1879)
55 10:44 AM 2326 c(2.5% = 1613) c(97.5% = 2820)
56 10:44 AM 3374 c(2.5% = 2470) c(97.5% = 3936)
57 10:44 AM 2904 c(2.5% = 2190) c(97.5% = 3344)
58 10:44 AM 4890 c(2.5% = 3603) c(97.5% = 5677)
59 10:44 AM 2395 c(2.5% = 1846) c(97.5% = 2801)
60 10:44 AM 1914 c(2.5% = 1470) c(97.5% = 2239)
61 10:44 AM 2947 c(2.5% = 2137) c(97.5% = 3581)
62 10:44 AM 2175 c(2.5% = 1428) c(97.5% = 2746)
63 10:44 AM 2757 c(2.5% = 2172) c(97.5% = 3099)
64 10:44 AM 1574 c(2.5% = 1128) c(97.5% = 1875)
65 10:44 AM 2278 c(2.5% = 1729) c(97.5% = 2611)
66 10:44 AM 4831 c(2.5% = 3626) c(97.5% = 5564)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions